Book Review: Iron Kingdom

Review of Iron Kingdom

Rating: Recommended if interested in the topic

1. We are all Prussians now.
2. What Ifs
3. Ending – basically Junker support of Hitler, and dissolution
4. Thoughts on Prusso-German Military Superiority.

We are all Prussian now. First, what exactly was Prussia? It never was a natural nation or land, its boundaries were always fairly arbitrary. Liberals opposing it defined it as runaway militarism and discipline. While not inaccurate I think that purposefully misses a lot because they were on the same page with a lot of Prussianism. What I see as the essence of Prussia is the state. Prussia pioneered draconian army discipline, comprehensive education, bureaucratic system, state involvement in the internal economy, soft control of public opinion, and comprehensive welfare. Most of these have become common in the world today. We are all Prussians now.
This state was run by and for the Junker class and mostly developed by them. The Junkers were the thoroughly mixed German-Slavic aristocracy that came out of the eastward settling and conquest of Slavic areas by Germans such as the Teutonic order. Their land is sandy,  and somewhat marshy and consequently their estates were fairly hardscrabble farms where Junkers could generally not maintain a life of privileged leisure but needed to administer and work on their land. As Feudal work obligations faded away this class become economically insolvent. First Prussia attempted to prop up the aristocracy by  a national bank that loaned nobles money on very generous terms. That failed. Eventually, it employed them as officers and administrators paid for by industry and commercial interests which the state farmed, first by ham handed efforts at creating industries (this failed), education, and then by cozy relationships with business owners and commercial interests. Finally, it took steps to maintain its power in the face of growing nationalism/democratic movements by adopting it, controlling media by soft power means, indoctrination in schools and finally a comprehensive welfare system. This was the most interesting part of the book to me – how the landowner class held on to power in modern times and for this I recommend it.

What ifs. I have several and I don’t want to spend too much time on them, so in chronological order.
a. Frederick the Great (often called in Germany the unique or exceptional, which I think fits him better than the Great), took Silesia
for economic reasons and to make Prussia not completely indefensible. Doing the ensuing Silesian wars his allies who wanted a general war to break Austria. He generally dropped out of these alliances when Austria was on the ropes, and it stayed a great power.
What if instead he saw through the destruction of Austria as a great power? Prussia would be able to occupy only a little more than it took OTL, Belgium and Austrian holdings near France would be independent. France would probably push its borders a little more eastward. The partitions of Poland would be a lot different. End result is the French-Russian Squeeze that made Prussia a non factor in the Napoleonic wars would happen even earlier, which probably would lead to German nationalism even earlier too. Of course, I doubt England would stand idly by while Austria was dogpiled, probably the real result would be the 7 years war would start earlier with Austria playing the role of England’s sole continental ally. In some wars this would be a replay of earlier wars.
b. Different reunifications – especially the Frankfort parliament. In Europa Universalis if Prussia accepts that then a general dogpile on Germany ensues. I don’t see that as too likely but I assume for purposes of keeping the game more or less on track it is necessary. Probably the result would be a trend to a more constitutional monarchy, at least for Germany as a whole if not Prussia. Of course Prussia had the administration that was capable of scaling up the organs of government to the whole nation and still maintain some level of competence. There is a reason that the parliament picked the Hohenzollerns to be Kaiser after all. Friedrich Wilhelm II declined, precisely for the reason that it was a path to constitutional monarchy UK style. It is not theirs to give.
c. In the wars of 1866 and 1870 Prussia emerged as a leader of a unified Germany. Thanks to Bismark’s efforts Austria was not humiliated and later became an ally. Against his wishes France was humiliated and revanchism became a potent force in French politics. I think reconciling Austria was a mistake. It never could join the German nation because Hungary and other extensive holdings were not German. Germany needed to have as an ally either France or Russia (I assume the best it could hope for re UK was for it to stay neutral). By alienating Austria it would have Italy as a natural ally, and would not have cause for conflict with Russia. The main drawback is it would incentivize Austria to stir up trouble in the constituent states of the Empire, but nobody likes a loser. Also one though that occurred to me was to have a plebiscite in the conquered provinces with the populace voting to rejoin France, remain German (possible which state they would join) or Switzerland. Depending on the outcome, boundaries would be moved proportional to the popular support and people would be moved to homes in the new boundaries. Switzerland did something like that at the beginning of the religious wars and it seemed to prevent civil war for them. It might reduce the anti-German feeling in France slightly, shorten the border with France (Assuming the Swiss agree), and make Germany appear conciliatory.

 

Endings – I get sad at endings. I even mourned Carthage! when reading a history of that city. In this case I felt it most for the Junkers, mustering out at the end of WW1 and being forced out of their homes and manors at the end of WW2. This book says that despite initial resistance the nobility were pretty complicit in Hitler’s rise. Hindenburg in particular seems to be the cause of the ruin of Germany – Defying the Kaisers wishes routinely in WWI, including getting his way for unlimited submarine warfare, (in fact the details of WWI reveal that Junkers were really in charge, just like parliament is really in charge of monarchical Britain) At the end of WWI Hindenburg pushed peace through and then claimed it was all the civilians government idea – starting the ‘stab in the back’ myth, then actually handing power over to Hitler. I suppose it fitting that a Junker bear the blame for the end of the Junkers and Prussia.

Prusso-German Military Superiority. First lets be clear, I am talking about land combat and at a tactical-operational level, not at a strategic level. A reading of history seems like they generally punch above their weight, and of course they had several military innovations: drill and maneuver in formation, general staff/staff officers, rail mobilization, firepower v. shock then later shock and stormtroopers, blitzkrieg etc. Dupuy did a numeric analysis and concluded that part of this is due to them often fighting on the defensive and in smaller numbers. Smaller groups of men being easier to coordinate and bring to bear than larger groups. But after accounting for that they still seem to have an advantage of 10-20% more than their numbers would suggest in any given battle. I cannot explain why that would be. My guess would be that the staff system is slightly better than equivalents accounting for 2-3% of it but the lions share comes to greater local and regional loyalty and their canton system of recruitment. Essentially they went to boot camp with their neighbors and friends and fought with them – and they had a local identity that was important to them. Of course the downsides of this is a community could lose most of their sons in one day, and there is no national integration/networking like there was in the US following WWII which led to the homogeneity and economic growth of the 50s and 60s. I suppose Germany had massive refugees in the east, and sheer poverty, and the polarization of the cold war to fuel their own similar achievements in that era. But I am getting way beyond the scope of the book.

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Fructose

HFCS is the devil, the cause of the obesity epidemic?
Not so fast according to Guyanet Stephen.

Fructose is good if you are not overeating but turns ugly when you do overeat. FYI half of sugar is fructose, the other half is glucose.
It signals the liver to store glucose. The good is this reduces insulin from glucose and also lowers blood sugar levels. The bad is if your liver is already full up with glycogen, fat gets shuttled straight to your fat cells (especially visceral fat). The other bad is that for sugary drinks, where the speed of calorie absorption in your intestinal tract is a concern, the fructose + glucose increase the calorie uptake rate as they use different transporters. That will tax your pancreas and liver no doubt.

Other possible conditional effects:
replacing some glucose with fructose pre endurance workout reduces the ravenous hunger which some people experience afterwards. Also, it may reduces metabolic slowdown and protein wasting from dieting. (This would abolish the immune system rejuvenation of a 3day+ fast.)

Application: slow down fructose absorption by (1)eating it in a fiber matrix (fruit), (2)at the end of a meal, or (3)with cinnamon which slows conversion of sugar into absorbable glucose and fructose.

Dinner is the time when topping of liver stores makes the most sense, as your body will be using that until you break the nightly fast 12-14 hours later.

If you get ravenous after running or other calorie intense exercise, replace half the carbs in your pre-workout meal with sugar and see if that helps. On race day galactose is probably better than fructose. Strength training does not burn enough calories for this to be an issue.

Dieting: Make half your 120+grams of carbs with sugar. Potassium carbonate, phosphate, choline and carnitine may help.

Fruit may also be ideal to break longer fasts with to ensure a clean rapid transition out of fasting mode. Remember in nature, good moderation is cycles, not being stuck in the middle.

From an appetite/overeating perspective I gather sweet by itself does not cause overeating from by over stimulating appetite. Sweet+fat together  is what blows our mind. Also, the low nutrient per calorie density of sugar is a cause for concern. Spices may help.

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The Problem of Consciousness

Consciousness clearly arises from the physical structures and activities of the brain, but how and why are something of a mystery. We can feel, but why do we do so rather than just act?
Apparently physics has something of a similar problem:

In this way, the deep nature of consciousness appears to lie beyond scientific reach. We take it for granted, however, that physics can in principle tell us everything there is to know about the nature of physical matter. Physics tells us that matter is made of particles and fields, which have properties such as mass, charge, and spin. Physics may not yet have discovered all the fundamental properties of matter, but it is getting closer.

Yet there is reason to believe that there must be more to matter than what physics tells us. Broadly speaking, physics tells us what fundamental particles do or how they relate to other things, but nothing about how they are in themselves, independently of other things.

Charge, for example, is the property of repelling other particles with the same charge and attracting particles with the opposite charge. In other words, charge is a way of relating to other particles. Similarly, mass is the property of responding to applied forces and of gravitationally attracting other particles with mass, which might in turn be described as curving spacetime or interacting with the Higgs field. These are also things that particles do or ways of relating to other particles and to spacetime.

In general, it seems all fundamental physical properties can be described mathematically. Galileo, the father of modern science, famously professed that the great book of nature is written in the language of mathematics. Yet mathematics is a language with distinct limitations. It can only describe abstract structures and relations. For example, all we know about numbers is how they relate to the other numbers and other mathematical objects—that is, what they “do,” the rules they follow when added, multiplied, and so on. Similarly, all we know about a geometrical object such as a node in a graph is its relations to other nodes. In the same way, a purely mathematical physics can tell us only about the relations between physical entities or the rules that govern their behavior.

One might wonder how physical particles are, independently of what they do or how they relate to other things. What are physical things like in themselves, or intrinsically? Some have argued that there is nothing more to particles than their relations, but intuition rebels at this claim. For there to be a relation, there must be two things being related. Otherwise, the relation is empty—a show that goes on without performers, or a castle constructed out of thin air. In other words, physical structure must be realized or implemented by some stuff or substance that is itself not purely structural. Otherwise, there would be no clear difference between physical and mere mathematical structure, or between the concrete universe and a mere abstraction. But what could this stuff that realizes or implements physical structure be, and what are the intrinsic, non-structural properties that characterize it? This problem is a close descendant of Kant’s classic problem of knowledge of things-in-themselves. The philosopher Galen Strawson has called it the hard problem of matter.
?

The article asks whether matter is conscious. As a Mormon I unhesitatingly answer yes. Mormon points out that the dust is always obedient to God, unlike man. It cannot be obedient w/o consciousness. Furthermore the cosmos revealed by Joseph Smith is alive and consciousness.

…think of someone who has never seen any red objects and has never been told that the color red exists. That person knows nothing about how redness relates to brain states, to physical objects such as tomatoes, or to wavelengths of light, nor how it relates to other colors (for example, that it’s similar to orange but very different from green). One day, the person spontaneously hallucinates a big red patch. It seems this person will thereby learn what redness is like, even though he or she doesn’t know any of its relations to other things. The knowledge he or she acquires will be non-relational knowledge of what redness is like in and of itself.

This suggests that consciousness—of some primitive and rudimentary form—is the hardware that the software described by physics runs on. The physical world can be conceived of as a structure of conscious experiences. Our own richly textured experiences implement the physical relations that make up our brains. Some simple, elementary forms of experiences implement the relations that make up fundamental particles. Take an electron, for example. What an electron does is to attract, repel, and otherwise relate to other entities in accordance with fundamental physical equations. What performs this behavior, we might think, is simply a stream of tiny electron experiences. Electrons and other particles can be thought of as mental beings with physical powers; as streams of experience in physical relations to other streams of experience.

That is actually quite elegant way for matter to be conscious. It is consciousness in and of itself, not as an emergent property. Obviously there is no way to prove this as it is a question about fundamental reality. I am, therefore I experience. Do read the whole article.

Food for thought is how the big consciousness of a person would relate to the little consciousness of the constituent particles – not only of the brain, but also of the entire person.

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A New Federalism

Disclaimer. This is theoretical only. Various sides in modern politics want to win, not to be left alone. Besides I cannot imagine a new constitutional convention going well.

Background. Before the Civil War a high federalism prevailed. From the Civil War to Wilson/FDR a moderate federalism was in place. Progressives sought and succeeded (with the help of World Wars) in centralizing power to curb the abuses of machine politics at the state and city levels. This mostly worked, but even as they succeeded large business interests were scaling up. Now regulatory capture at the federal level is almost complete. This proposal is to revert to moderate federalism and curb the oppression of sub-entities by allowing people to move.

Proposal 1. New smaller states. In order to make movement practical and states more responsive to their citizens, large states need to be broken up. This also reduces the impact of majority of the tyranny, as minority political interests will be less in each state. Maybe 70-110 states?

The Senate. One senator from each state instead of two. In an era of slow communications, two provided needed redundancy but no longer adds much except slightly more representative but not really. One per state will keep the Senate a workable size. Additionally Senators should be appointed by state governments, not popular vote as this gives them an incentive to vote for states’ rights instead of increasing their power.

The House. In order to reduce the increased power of the state government above, representatives are no longer by district but chosen by vote in a party, which then draws its districts and votes for representatives within that district. (This may need some more thought, but the goal is to reduce the power of states to gerrymander)

Metro States. It is easy to see that a large political divide is between large urban centers and the smaller cities, towns, and ruralia. This means that for people living in the chunk of land attached to a large city, they are ruled by people who don’t necessarily understand them nor their way of life. Sometimes the reverse is true with a medium city ruled by the rest of the state. I propose the top metropolitan areas be made into their own states and be divested of the surrounding land. Using Population-explorer.com I throw out the following metro-states: New York, Philly, DC, Atlanta, Detroit, Chicago-Milwaukee, Miami, Tampa-Orlando, Minneapolis, Kansas City-Independence, Dallas-DFW, Houston-Galveston, Denver-CO Springs, Phoenix-Mesa, LA-Anaheim-Long Beach, San Fran-San Jose-Oakland, Seattle-Tacoma-Olympia. The exact number would depend on maintaining a balance of power of urbanites at the federal level set against the desire to separate in individual cases. Generally a metro state will consist of several cities, each city no larger than one can commute about 30 minutes to its boundaries. Exceptions may be made for strong historical/practical reasons. In researching metro areas it seems there is some power in having different administrative regimes next to each other-this is the principle of being able to easily vote with your feet and shop between governments.

Land States – This will be drawn with more of an emphasis on the shape being east-west instead of north-south. The North-South orientation made sense as states were carved from a frontier that was north-south. But the frontier days are long gone. Look at http://www.unz.com/jman/the-genetics-of-the-american-nations/ . States that go more east-west are more likely to capture like-minded people. Additionally agriculture zones are east-west. Perhaps in the mountain west watersheds could be taken into account. Lots of factors but I think we could do better states than the legacy ones, maybe some way to dissolve and reform states? Of course I live in a state with little pride and is not in the orbit of any state just because there are too many to choose from: TX, CA, the nation of Mexico, the Navajo Nation, and mine (the fed gov).

Immigration – States should be able to control immigration into their states. An ability to settle large amounts of people in a state is the ability to destroy it and remake it another image. I think immigration would be a much less divisive issue if the states had some say in this-not a 100% say, but a lot more than now. Citizens of course can settle as they will.

Ports and highwaysMovements of goods and citizens cannot be restricted by individual states. Large Ports that serve much more than the state it is located in now belong to the federal government. Sorry Seattle, you can’t decide that oil cannot flow through your port.

Anti-trust and regional centers – Along with our invigorated political entities, we need to start anti-trusting or nationalizing various industries. Comcast is a biggie, Social Media/internet may be ripe for the utilities treatment, or be the new postal service, Anyways, IMO there is a long list of too big to be private entities that needs addressing.

Electoral Votes Apportionment – In order to break down political bubbles, I think that electoral votes should be awarded proportionally. That way there is an incentive to campaign in more than just a few battleground states. However, realistically there are a lot of places that are bubbles and that won’t change, so I propose proportional until a candidate gets over 62% in which case he wins all. This also reduces the incentives/opportunities to voter fraud.

Final Note: Historically this would be like the Holy Roman Empire with its lands and free cities. Since this is historically prob the most functional long lasting federalism, I am confident this is generally a good idea w/ re to federalism.

 

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Futher Thoughts on Creation, the Fall, and Evolution

I don’t see that evolution is the religion killer that is purported to be. It seems that it presents a world and mankind similiar to that of ToE, hopeless and flawed. The main difference is that religion adds a ray of hope as a ‘rest of the story’.

But I am left with the curiousity. How to concord the actual events. It seems wrong, as one wag slyly suggested that fossils were planted to mislead. I also have reservations about Bishop Huxleys declaration that Evolution is one of the tools that God used to create everything. So I propose an alternate explanation. The Fall caused a seperetion between god and man, a godless world, ever afterwards and always before.

First, plausiblity of retroactive causation. We are told in the scriptures that the atonment wrought by Christ is neccesary for Man and God to reunite. Else they must be seperate forever. But before the atonement was done Christ forgave sins, the dead rose, the prophets communed with God and the work of salvation was carried on (a lot more explicitly in the new world scripture). Clearly the atonement could be and was applied retroactively. It is plausible then that the Fall, compared by Paul to the atonement in effect, could also have retroactive effects.

Physics can not rule out retroactive causation. In deed it seems possible, but not to us because of the massive energy requirements. Or the conclusion to some theories seems to be that time is not what we think it to be. It seems probable the universe is simultaneously both static and dynamic. That blows my mind, but given other dual natures in physics -particle/wave, energy/matter &c. it is mo of the same. I am clearly not educated enough in physics or for that matter smart enough to add anything here, but I gather physics does not entirely rule out cause flowing backwards sometimes.

So what does this mean? I would like to use an analogy.
A building suddenly loses its foundation.
It collapses in itself, but is not destroyed, floors are askew, lots of cracks everywhere. Indivudual beams are twisted, marred and have a lot of microcracks in them weakening their structures. However their original form and purpose can sometimes be glimpsed.

Down is the past, and support is causation. Pieces reflect some ideal form and function they had before the cataclysm. Living creatures fall until they have a godless cause for their existence (the foundation now being gone). That is evolution and evolutionary history. The world is godless yet there is a god. The creation has been severed from the creator.

People scoff at the idea that the building once had a foundation because they can show how each individual piece is supported presumably down to the ground. The ground being fundamental fabric of reality that cannot be altered w/ or w/o God. There is no need to posit a foundation they say to explain the structure. And they aren’t even wrong.

The advantages of this explanation is that God didn’t creat an imperfect world through cruel and uncertain means, nor did he create elaborate deceptions to hide himself. The intended recipients of the perfect world rejected him, and the creation could not persist with its creator.

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Book Review: The Hungry Brain, Guyanet

Rating: As good as it gets – lotta unknowns.

This book explores research into causes of the obesity epidemic including the regulatory systems involved. Regulatory systems are 1. a satiety system that tells us if we’ve eaten enough this meal  and in a different part of the brain 2. A system that tries to keep body weight stable.

It list causes as:
1. Really tasty food, super-stimulus: salty, crunchy, fatty, sugary, MSG w/o much satiety signals like fiber, volume, or protein per calorie. This food breaks reg system No. 1.
2. Food Advertising – Or just smelling/seeing food out in the open.
3. Ease of getting food – seems to bypass regulatory system if it is effortless to consume it.
4. Damage to regulatory system, cause of damage unknown, may be a result of chronic overeating or of some toxin. In any case obese people seem to have lesions in the no.2 brain region.
5. Decreased exercise
6. Poor stress management
7. Circadian arrhythmia – poor sleep, eating at the wrong part of the cycle. Much more weight gain when eating same calories at night than during day.
All but 5 and  7 basically add up to we binge on foods, getting an a huge amount of calories, and then we do it again and our body can’t cope. We binge when we have tasty easy food, and are stressed and sleep deprived which basically leads to 4 which may start the cycle anew.

As for exercise, it says this isn’t a panacea but is an important part. I know from other research that exercise has different effects on different people some it suppresses appetite, in others it stimulates. So for an unlucky seventh  of the population exercise may not be helpful with re to weight loss.

So avoid binge foods and binge triggers. Shelled nuts better than unshelled fe.

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The Talent Code by Daniel Coyle

Rating: Recommended with reservations

I was hoping this book would have some insight as to how to increase myelination, as the blurb talked about how research into that was revolutionizing our understanding of how talent is developed. I was hoping for something practical to help my strength training. No luck! This book was written by someone not too familiar with brain science who trots out myelin every so often for the Wow! Science! factor. Invoking it does not add anything to his book, and furthermore, one would get the impression that myelin is The Factor in developing skill but I know there are also other essential mechanisms.

If you ignore the myelin junk it is a fairly interesting book. The author investigates towns and nations that have produced an extraordinary amount of talent in some particular field for common causes to offer suggestions for someone trying to create their own hotspot. If you want the brain stuff, get a book on neuroscience for your level.

An incomplete, unordered list:
A spark: something that gets kids interested in the activity. This could be a coach/teacher who is enthusiastic about it and their pupils or a hometown hero who inspired all the kids back home with their success.
A facility that is shabby yet functional and has a lot of reminders of glory that can be achieved-such as pictures/trophies of that hometown  hero.
Lots of chances to practice the critical part of the skill. For a pianist going over difficult passages as much as possible and not wasting time on other passages. For soccer players in Brazil a compact faster paced version of soccer commonly played by children means they have much more time handling the ball, than kids who grow up playing the regular version who haft to spend a lot of time moving the ball up the field or waiting for the ball to come to them to get to the ball control-improvisation part. So, lots of repetition, and quality of that repetition to improve a skill.
And more stuff, but these are the ones that came to mind. If interested buy the book, or visit the website.

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